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Dry winter and trapped air raise concerns in the Rogue Valley

Autumn scenery of Rogue River valley in early morning with fog and mist.
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Autumn scenery of the Rogue River valley in early morning with fog and mist.

In the Rogue Valley, JPR meteorologist Milt Radford says conditions are unusually dry for winter. The region is in what he calls a “pre-drought” state, with precipitation approximately 18-19% below average.

While much of the eastern U.S. is dealing with rare and destructive ice storms caused by supercooled air, Radford says the bigger concern locally is air stagnation.

Science of stagnant air

Air stagnation occurs when persistent high pressure traps cold air in valleys, preventing the atmosphere from mixing, Radford said. This condition leads to dense fog and increased air pollution, which can increase health risks for some people.

Snowpack and fire safety

Radford points to a stark contrast in snowpack this winter between Mount Ashland in Southern Oregon and Mount Shasta in Northern California. Though the two mountains are only about a 90-minute drive apart, Mount Shasta’s greater height allows it to intercept Pacific storms. Mount Ashland, by comparison, remains “tucked in” and receives far less snow.

That lack of snow, Radford said, is bad news for the upcoming fire season. Mountain snowpack acts as long-term water storage, slowly releasing moisture into soils and streams well into summer.

Guest

  • Milt Radford, JPR meteorologist
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Mike Green is host of the Jefferson Exchange. Mike has lived in Southern Oregon for more than two decades. He is an award-winning journalist with over 20 years experience in media, specializing in media innovation, inclusive economics and entrepreneurship.
Natalie Golay is the Senior Producer of the Jefferson Exchange. She has a B.A. in Visual Arts, a certificate of recommendation in multimedia from the Vancouver Film school, and a law degree from the University of British Columbia. A communications professional for over 20 years, Natalie is a natural storyteller with extensive audio and video production skills.
Milt is the producer and host of Morning Edition on JPR. He has worked as a television meteorologist and broadcast journalist in both southern Oregon and his home state of Alaska. Milt has degrees and certifications in communications and atmospheric science.